The False Promise of “Targeted” Sanctions

Bush administration officials hope that "targeted" sanctions like those aimed at North Korea's leadership will similarly force Iran to negotiate on its nuclear program. The problem, Ian Bremmer argues, is that the North Korean regime responded not to sanctions, but to America's tacit acceptance of North Korea's status as a nuclear weapons state.

Despite his bellicose rhetoric, George W. Bush would very much like to avoid a choice between air strikes on Iranian nuclear sites and accepting a nuclear Iran. For the moment, administration officials are hoping that “targeted” sanctions aimed directly at Iran’s leadership will compel a compromise. The United Nations Security Council’s recent decision to tighten existing sanctions on Iran by prohibiting dealings with 15 individuals and 13 organizations aims at precisely that. But, while some within the US government argue that similar sanctions induced North Korea to compromise on its nuclear program, there are several reasons why the same strategy is unlikely to work with Iran.

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