The Ayatollahs’ Tipping Point
After a week of daily mass protests, Iran's rulers cracked down on demonstrators with violence and stepped up their arrests of opposition leaders. But, time and again, when protest-especially disruptive protest - has been sustained for more than a week or two, even the most repressive regimes eventually find it practically and psychologically difficult to sustain its hold.
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SOUTHAMPTON, ENGLAND – Once the crowds were in the streets in Tehran, one could, if one knew the script, begin the countdown: if today there are mass protests, tomorrow there will be threats of retaliation in the name of “national security.” By day three, we will see journalists imprisoned and media shut down; day four, bloody reprisals against protesters by secret police; day five, arrests of key opposition figures. Sure enough, right on schedule, each of those steps was set in motion in Iran, within the space of a week.