Lost in Transition

Not long ago, many economists were anticipating a switchover in the global economy's main engines, with autonomous sources of growth in developing economies compensating for the drag of struggling advanced economies. But, in the last few months, enthusiasm about these economies’ prospects has given way to bleak forecasts.

WASHINGTON, DC – Financial markets and the news media have one thing in common: they tend to oscillate rapidly between hype and gloom. Nowhere is this more apparent than in analyses of emerging economies’ prospects. In the last few months, enthusiasm about these countries’ post-2008 economic resilience and growth potential has given way to bleak forecasts, with economists like Ricardo Hausmann declaring that “the emerging-market party” is coming to an end.

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