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Countering Structural Disruptions

From globalization to artificial intelligence, powerful forces are driving structural change in developed and developing economies alike. Policies focused on mitigating the inevitable distributional consequences of such change are critical to sustaining it.

MILAN – Trade and technology development policies almost always have distributional consequences. There may be a few exceptions for which the implementation of a policy produces either gains or no loss for nearly everyone, what economists would call a Pareto improvement. But these instances are relatively rare. You could argue that for early-stage developing countries, the export-driven growth model that draws surplus labor into the modernizing manufacturing and urban sectors comes close to meeting this standard. But even there, the gains are not spread evenly, and income inequality normally increases.

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