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Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Writing for PS since 2010
174 commentaries

Mohamed A. El-Erian, President of Queens’ College at the University of Cambridge, is a professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and the author of The Only Game in Town: Central Banks, Instability, and Avoiding the Next Collapse (Random House, 2016) and a co-author (with Gordon Brown, Michael Spence, and Reid Lidow) of Permacrisis: A Plan to Fix a Fractured World (Simon & Schuster, 2023).

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  1. A Baseline Scenario for the Global Economy in 2025
    elerian175_Spencer PlattGetty Images_nyse Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    A Baseline Scenario for the Global Economy in 2025

    Dec 24, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian offers his predictions for the new year while acknowledging that the range of possible outcomes is widening.

  2. Once Again, It Was the Economy, Stupid
    elerian174_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_economy Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Once Again, It Was the Economy, Stupid

    Nov 14, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian explains how and why Democrats failed to connect with US voters’ pocketbook realities.

  3. Toward a Fifth World Order
    op_brown2_TIERNEY CROSSAFP via Getty Images_IMFworldbank Tierney Cross/AFP via Getty Images

    Toward a Fifth World Order

    Oct 21, 2024 Gordon Brown & Mohamed A. El-Erian explain why multilateral institutions urgently need to be reformed, and why the G20 is the right forum for it.

  4. How to Judge the New British Government’s First Budget
    elerian172_Christopher FurlongGetty Images_rachelreeves Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    How to Judge the New British Government’s First Budget

    Oct 17, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian lists four criteria for assessing the chancellor's attempt to meet a long list of unrealistic demands.

  5. Analytical Volatility Is Worse than Market Whiplash
    elerian171_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_ Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Analytical Volatility Is Worse than Market Whiplash

    Aug 30, 2024 Mohamed A. El-Erian considers why economic forecasters have been responding so dramatically to each data release.

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  1. klee23_Per-Anders Pettersson Getty Images_worldbank Per-Anders Pettersson/Getty Images
    1

    Has Escaping the Middle-Income Trap Become Easier?

    Keun Lee urges the World Bank to adopt a more reliable measure of economic development than nominal per capita GDP.
  2. fofack29_eric1513Getty Images_dedollarization eric1513/Getty Images
    1

    Trump Can’t Stop De-Dollarization

    Hippolyte Fofack thinks the benefits of reducing reliance on the greenback will outweigh the costs of retaliatory US tariffs.
  3. yoon32_Han Myung-GuGetty Images_southkoreaimpeachment Han Myung-Gu/Getty Images
    0

    South Korea’s Constitution Needs Fixing

    Yoon Young-kwan

    South Korea's latest political crisis is further evidence that the 1987 constitution has outlived its usefulness. To facilitate better governance and bolster policy stability, the country must establish a new political framework that includes stronger checks on the president and fosters genuine power-sharing.

     argues that breaking the cycle of political crises will require some fundamental reforms.
  4. vbadre2 image Frédéric BAZILLE, Edouard MANET, L’Atelier de Bazille Studio, 1870
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    The Lost Art of Collaboration

    Vanessa Badré mines a nineteenth-century painting for insights into trust-building, creativity, and cooperation.
  5. op_aschechter2_BRENDAN SMIALOWSKIAFP via Getty Images_trump Brendam Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images
    5

    PS Commentators’ Predictions for 2025

    PS editors

    Among the major issues that will dominate attention in the next 12 months are the future of multilateralism, the ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, and the threats to global stability posed by geopolitical rivalries and Donald Trump’s second presidency. Advances in artificial intelligence, if regulated effectively, offer a glimmer of hope.

     asked PS contributors to identify the national and global trends to look out for in the coming year.
  6. adebajo12_FADEL SENNAAFP via Getty Images_USmilitaryafrica Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images
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    What Trump’s Return Means for Africa

    Adekeye Adebajo expects a continuation of America's longstanding attitude of benign neglect toward the continent.
  7. hodgkins1_Ulet IfansastiGetty Images_mine Ulet Ifansasti/Getty Images
    Free to read
    1

    The False Promise of “Responsible Mining”

    Chelsea Hodgkins lambasts a corporate-led voluntary global standard that would harm communities and pose risks for automakers.
  8. elerian175_Spencer PlattGetty Images_nyse Spencer Platt/Getty Images
    1

    A Baseline Scenario for the Global Economy in 2025

    Mohamed A. El-Erian offers his predictions for the new year while acknowledging that the range of possible outcomes is widening.
  9. ruto6_LUIS TATOAFP via Getty Images_africafloods Luis Tato/AFP via Getty Images
    0

    A New Deal for Developing Countries

    William Ruto explains what climate-vulnerable Africa will need to strengthen their resilience and sustain economic growth.

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