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Curated by Project Syndicate

Trump, Trade, and China

100 commentaries

The biggest cloud hanging over the world economy is the incipient trade war with China launched by US President Donald Trump. But with America’s closest allies rejecting Trump's protectionism, can the US really afford to go it alone?

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  1. Trump’s Backward March on Trade
    krueger23_Joshua LottGetty Images_trumpmagahat Joshua Lott/Getty Images

    Trump’s Backward March on Trade

    Jan 20, 2020 Anne O. Krueger argues that America has been the biggest loser after two years of protectionism and free-wheeling sanctions.

  2. Why a Cool War May Be Worse than a Cold One
    sheng95_narvikk Getty Images_chinaustradewarshipping narvikk/Getty Images

    Why a Cool War May Be Worse than a Cold One

    Jan 2, 2020 Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng warn that in the current struggle between the US and China, both sides could end up losing.

  3. The Case for Old-Fashioned Tariff Cuts
    frankel105_5m3photosGettyImages_tradeshippingcontainer 5m3photos/Getty Images

    The Case for Old-Fashioned Tariff Cuts

    Nov 27, 2019 Jeffrey Frankel says modest-sounding trade policies focusing on “shallow integration” could produce significant benefits.

  4. After the US-China Trade War
    roach109_JOHANNES EISELEAFP via Getty Images_USstockmarkettrader Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Images

    After the US-China Trade War

    Nov 25, 2019 Stephen S. Roach says that, truce or not, a protracted economic struggle between the US and China has already begun.

  5. How to Get Past the US-China Trade War
    rodrik166_STRAFP via Getty Images_chinatradeshippingboat STR/AFP/Getty Images

    How to Get Past the US-China Trade War

    Nov 7, 2019 Dani Rodrik proposes a framework that would allow both countries to maintain their own economic model.

  6. China Adjusts to the New World Order
    sheng93_Kevin FrayerGetty Images_china70thwomanflag Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

    China Adjusts to the New World Order

    Oct 28, 2019 Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng show that the country is in a position not only to survive US protectionism, but to thrive in spite of it.

  1. basu111_Justin SullivanGetty Images_UScartariffs Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

    Trump’s Tariffs Will Accelerate America’s Economic Decline

    Kaushik Basu draws parallels between the administration’s policies and those that led to Argentina’s decades-long slump.
  2. blyth3_Chip SomodevillaGettyImages_trump_reciprocal_tariffs Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    Trump, Tariffs, and the Fate of the Dollar

    Mark Blyth

    Donald Trump’s attempt to reindustrialize the US economy by eliminating trade deficits will undoubtedly cause pain and disruption on a massive scale. But it is important to remember that both major US political parties have abandoned free trade in pursuit of similar goals.

    argues that America’s protectionist policies reflect a global economic reordering that was already underway.
  3. davutoglu1_Andrew HarnikGetty Images_trumpzelensky Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

    Trump’s Old World Order

    Ahmet Davutoğlu warns that the US administration’s reckless conduct may destroy the last vestiges of multilateral cooperation.
  4. op_janeway19_MANDEL NGANAFP via Getty Images_trumpmusk Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

    Crippling America’s Innovation Economy

    William H. Janeway

    Donald Trump and Elon Musk's reign of disruption is crippling research universities’ ability to serve as productive partners in innovation, thus threatening the very system that they purport to celebrate. The Chinese, who are increasingly becoming frontier innovators in their own right, will be forever grateful.

    warns that the pillars of US dynamism and competitiveness are being systematically toppled.
  5. muzikarova8_NurPhotoGettyImages_chip_manufacturing NurPhoto/Getty Images

    America’s AI Iron Curtain

    Soňa Muzikárová explains how US export controls are harming allies and potentially helping Russia and China.
  6. hubbard5_SpencerPlattGettyImages_bessent_economic_club_of_new_york Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    What Rebalancing the US Economy Really Requires

    Glenn Hubbard thinks US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is neglecting the need for spending cuts in major federal programs.
  7. rasoolayub1_Alex WongGettyImages_voa_building Alex Wong/Getty Images

    America’s Voice No Longer Speaks for Democracy

    Heela Rasool-Ayub explains why authoritarians worldwide are celebrating Donald Trump’s renunciation of democratic advocacy.
  8. durostu1_Apu GomesGetty Images_LAfire Apu Gomes/Getty Images

    Insurers Must Embrace Geospatial AI

    Pierre du Rostu touts the technology’s benefits for an industry that must shift its focus from paying claims to managing risk.
  9. gelfand4_Andrew HarnikGettyImages_trump_gesture Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
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    It’s Time to Abandon Trump’s Flawed Negotiation Playbook

    Michele Gelfand points out that the best dealmakers strive for win-win outcomes, not zero-sum Pyrrhic victories.

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