When forecasts are not specific enough to be actionable, the supply response cannot adjust in a timely or efficient manner. And because there is relatively little slack built into global supply chains, large deviations from normal patterns produce delayed responses, shortages, backlogs, and bottlenecks, like those today.
MILAN β Supply-chain disruptions are severely hampering the global economic recovery. It is a strange situation in many ways. The types of products and services affected by delays and shortages β including a wide range of intermediate goods, from commodities to semiconductors, and the final products that depend on them β resemble what one would see in a wartime economy. And the disruptions took us largely by surprise.
MILAN β Supply-chain disruptions are severely hampering the global economic recovery. It is a strange situation in many ways. The types of products and services affected by delays and shortages β including a wide range of intermediate goods, from commodities to semiconductors, and the final products that depend on them β resemble what one would see in a wartime economy. And the disruptions took us largely by surprise.