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The Not-So-High Costs of Brexit

Beyond a weaker pound and lower UK interest rates, the British vote to exit the EU has not had a lasting economic impact. In fact, thanks to the economic transformation that the UK has undergone over the last 20 years – in part, driven by the country's EU membership – the economy may well be able to dodge the Brexit bullet.

BRUSSELS – The United Kingdom’s vote to “Brexit” the European Union is on course to become the year’s biggest non-event. Beyond a weaker pound and lower UK interest rates, the referendum has not had much of a lasting impact. Financial markets wobbled for a few weeks after the referendum, but have since recovered. Consumer spending remains unmoved. More surprising, investment has remained consistent, despite uncertainty about Britain’s future trade relations with the EU. Have the costs of Brexit been overblown?

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