Japan’s Tax-Hike Test

On October 1, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced his decision to implement an unprecedentedly steep consumption-tax hike. In order to offset the move's potential deflationary impact, the Bank of Japan should be prepared to ease monetary policy.

TOKYO – As October began, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced that his government would raise the country’s consumption-tax rate from 5% to 8% next April, and presumably to 10% 18 months after that. The contrast with what is now happening in the United States could not be sharper. As US President Barack Obama’s domestic opponents resist his signature health-care legislation, owing to the wealth transfers that it implies, Japanese bureaucrats are trying to recover the authority to administer tax revenue to support social-welfare programs.

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