zhang56_Zhang LingXinhua via Getty Images_li keqiang Zhang Ling/Xinhua via Getty Images

Why Might China Avoid Strong Inflation?

With unemployment in China rising, and with the rate for 16-24-year-olds up four percentage points year-on-year in June, economic stimulus is urgently needed. At the same time, Premier Li Keqiang has been wise to highlight the importance of not overdoing it.

SHANGHAI – When high levels of capital investment spending fueled a sustained increase in Chinese inflation from 1991 to 2011, the authorities quickly brought the situation under control, and over the last decade, CPI has rarely exceeded 2%, compared to 5.4% in 2011. With policymakers in most major economies now losing their grip on price stability, can China continue to keep a lid on inflation this year and next?

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