Skyscraper in Moscow

Closing the Investment Gap

Business investment depends on expected future demand and output growth, not on current returns or retained earnings. This “accelerator” theory of investment explains most – but not all – of the weakness of business investment in the developed economies since the 2008 financial crisis.

BERKELEY – The weakness of private investment in the United States and other advanced economies is a worrisome – and perplexing – feature of the recovery from the 2008 global financial crisis. Indeed, according to the International Monetary Fund, through 2014, private investment declined by an average of 25% compared to pre-crisis trends.

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