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Kenneth Rogoff

Kenneth Rogoff

Writing for PS since 2002
262 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Kenneth Rogoff, a former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, is Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and the recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics. He is the co-author (with Carmen M. Reinhart) of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and the author of the forthcoming book Our Dollar, Your Problem (Yale University Press, 2025).

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  1. China Can’t Spend Its Way Out of Trouble
    rogoff260_ STRAFP via Getty Images_chinarealestate STR/AFP via Getty Images

    China Can’t Spend Its Way Out of Trouble

    Apr 2, 2025 Kenneth Rogoff argues that the country’s problems can be traced back to its response to the 2008 financial crisis.

  2. What Trump 2.0 Means for Africa and Latin America
    rogoff259_Kayla BartkowskiGettyImages_javier_milei Kayla Bartkowski/Getty Images

    What Trump 2.0 Means for Africa and Latin America

    Mar 5, 2025 Kenneth Rogoff highlights the far-reaching implications of the new administration’s move to slash foreign-aid funding.

  3. Europe in Trump’s Crosshairs
    rogoff258_Fabrice CoffriniGettyImages_trump_at_davos Fabrice Coffrini/Getty Images

    Europe in Trump’s Crosshairs

    Jan 28, 2025 Kenneth Rogoff urges EU policymakers not to allow the new US administration to distract them from key policy priorities.

  4. Will Trump Fire the Fed?
    rogoff257_Drew AngererGetty Images_trumppowell Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Will Trump Fire the Fed?

    Jan 2, 2025 Kenneth Rogoff worries about the incoming US administration’s plans to weaken the central bank’s independence.

  5. Will the Second Trump Boom Go Bust?
    rogoff255_Getty Images Getty Images

    Will the Second Trump Boom Go Bust?

    Dec 16, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that, regardless of domestic policies, powerful global headwinds could impede US economic growth.

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  1. basu111_Justin SullivanGetty Images_UScartariffs Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

    Trump’s Tariffs Will Accelerate America’s Economic Decline

    Kaushik Basu draws parallels between the administration’s policies and those that led to Argentina’s decades-long slump.
  2. blyth3_Chip SomodevillaGettyImages_trump_reciprocal_tariffs Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    Trump, Tariffs, and the Fate of the Dollar

    Mark Blyth

    Donald Trump’s attempt to reindustrialize the US economy by eliminating trade deficits will undoubtedly cause pain and disruption on a massive scale. But it is important to remember that both major US political parties have abandoned free trade in pursuit of similar goals.

    argues that America’s protectionist policies reflect a global economic reordering that was already underway.
  3. davutoglu1_Andrew HarnikGetty Images_trumpzelensky Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

    Trump’s Old World Order

    Ahmet Davutoğlu warns that the US administration’s reckless conduct may destroy the last vestiges of multilateral cooperation.
  4. op_janeway19_MANDEL NGANAFP via Getty Images_trumpmusk Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

    Crippling America’s Innovation Economy

    William H. Janeway

    Donald Trump and Elon Musk's reign of disruption is crippling research universities’ ability to serve as productive partners in innovation, thus threatening the very system that they purport to celebrate. The Chinese, who are increasingly becoming frontier innovators in their own right, will be forever grateful.

    warns that the pillars of US dynamism and competitiveness are being systematically toppled.
  5. muzikarova8_NurPhotoGettyImages_chip_manufacturing NurPhoto/Getty Images

    America’s AI Iron Curtain

    Soňa Muzikárová explains how US export controls are harming allies and potentially helping Russia and China.
  6. hubbard5_SpencerPlattGettyImages_bessent_economic_club_of_new_york Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    What Rebalancing the US Economy Really Requires

    Glenn Hubbard thinks US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is neglecting the need for spending cuts in major federal programs.
  7. rasoolayub1_Alex WongGettyImages_voa_building Alex Wong/Getty Images

    America’s Voice No Longer Speaks for Democracy

    Heela Rasool-Ayub explains why authoritarians worldwide are celebrating Donald Trump’s renunciation of democratic advocacy.
  8. durostu1_Apu GomesGetty Images_LAfire Apu Gomes/Getty Images

    Insurers Must Embrace Geospatial AI

    Pierre du Rostu touts the technology’s benefits for an industry that must shift its focus from paying claims to managing risk.
  9. gelfand4_Andrew HarnikGettyImages_trump_gesture Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
    Free to read

    It’s Time to Abandon Trump’s Flawed Negotiation Playbook

    Michele Gelfand points out that the best dealmakers strive for win-win outcomes, not zero-sum Pyrrhic victories.

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