The Middle East’s Three Timelines
Three distinct timelines are shaping developments in the Middle East: the short -term timeline of daily struggles and politics; the medium-term timeline of geopolitical shifts; and the long-term timeline of sociocultural transformation. Understanding each is essential to craft an effective strategy in the region.
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BERLIN – Three distinct timelines are shaping developments in the Middle East: the short-term timeline of daily struggles and politics; the medium-term timeline of geopolitical shifts, which is measured in decades; and the long-term timeline of sociocultural transformation, or what the historian Fernand Braudel called the longue durée. Understanding each is essential to craft an effective strategy in the region.