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Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock

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Philip E. Tetlock, University Professor in Democracy and Citizenship and Professor of Management at the University of Pennsylvania, is the co-author of Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.

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  1. Better Learning Through Better Betting
    tetlock2_Scott Olson_getty Scott Olson/Getty Images

    Better Learning Through Better Betting

    May 11, 2016 Philip E. Tetlock & Dan Gardner suggest using complex wagers with small precise questions to settle public debates.

  2. How Accurate Are Your Pet Pundits?

    How Accurate Are Your Pet Pundits?

    May 10, 2006 Philip E. Tetlock

  1. schiffrin10_Mark WilsonGetty Images_journalists Mark Wilson/Getty Images
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    Quality Journalism Is More Important than Ever

    Anya Schiffrin, et al. explain how policymakers can support rigorous, objective reporting, just as they provide other public goods.
  2. wei60_MANJUNATH KIRANAFP via Getty Images_india population MANJUNATH KIRAN/AFP via Getty Images
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    Is India’s Economy Overhyped?

    Shang-Jin Wei argues that the country’s rapid development, while undeniable, conceals deeper structural problems.
  3. krake1_Celal GunesAnadolu via Getty Images_spring meetings Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images
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    Negotiating a Bigger, Better World Bank

    Michael Krake & Wempi Saputra explain how a new framework will nudge countries to invest in projects that deliver global public goods.
  4. redford1_Getty Images_earth conservation Getty Images
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    The Ozone Layer’s Recovery Shows How to Protect the Planet

    Robert Redford & Xiye Bastida highlight the critical role of international cooperation in preserving the planet’s habitability.
  5. kuttab59_AFP via Getty Images_hamas war AFP via Getty Images
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    The Middle East Needs a Ceasefire Now

    Daoud Kuttab explains why the latest escalation could lead to a truce instead of an all-out military showdown.
  6. moreiradasilva2_JOHN WESSELSAFP via Getty Images_internally displaced mozambique JOHN WESSELS/AFP via Getty Images
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    Overcoming the Development-Project Implementation Gap

    Jorge Moreira da Silva highlights ways to strengthen the International Development Association’s already-powerful impact.
  7. diwan27_ LUIS TATOAFP via Getty Images_kenya green energy LUIS TATO/AFP via Getty Images
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    Developing Countries’ Liquidity Crisis Is Not Over

    Ishac Diwan & Vera Songwe urge global policymakers to prevent mass insolvency and finance urgent climate projects.
  8. rodrik221_SAUL LOEBAFP via Getty Images_bidenintel Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images
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    America’s Manufacturing Renaissance Will Create Few Good Jobs

    Dani Rodrik

    Many countries’ recent experiences show that boosting manufacturing employment is like chasing a fast-receding target. Automation and skill-biased technology have made it extremely unlikely that manufacturing can be the labor-absorbing activity it once was, which means that the future of “good jobs” must be created in services.

     shows why policies to boost employment in the twenty-first century ultimately must focus on services.
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    Minxin Pei on China’s economy, surveillance state, repression of dissent, and more

    Minxin Pei doubts China’s government is willing to do what is needed to restore growth, describes the low-tech approaches taken by the country’s vast security apparatus, considers the Chinese social-credit system’s repressive potential, and more.

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